4iG Nyrt. (BUSE:4IG) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 129% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think 4iG Nyrt's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Hungary's IT industry. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for 4iG Nyrt
What Does 4iG Nyrt's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been advantageous for 4iG Nyrt as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on 4iG Nyrt will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
4iG Nyrt's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 18% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 42% per annum as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.2% per year.
With this information, we find it concerning that 4iG Nyrt is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On 4iG Nyrt's P/S
4iG Nyrt's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
It appears that 4iG Nyrt currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If the poor revenue outlook tells us one thing, it's that these current price levels could be unsustainable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for 4iG Nyrt you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if 4iG Nyrt might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.