Stock Analysis

Sentiment Still Eluding ALPHA ADRIATIC d.d. (ZGSE:ULPL)

ZGSE:ULPL
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ALPHA ADRIATIC d.d.'s (ZGSE:ULPL) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.9x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Croatia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 16x and even P/E's above 31x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at ALPHA ADRIATIC d.d over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for ALPHA ADRIATIC d.d

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ZGSE:ULPL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 26th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for ALPHA ADRIATIC d.d, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is ALPHA ADRIATIC d.d's Growth Trending?

ALPHA ADRIATIC d.d's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 63%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 0.5% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's peculiar that ALPHA ADRIATIC d.d's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are more bearish than recent times would indicate and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On ALPHA ADRIATIC d.d's P/E

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of ALPHA ADRIATIC d.d revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current market expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the company's performance. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 7 warning signs for ALPHA ADRIATIC d.d (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than ALPHA ADRIATIC d.d. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.