Stock Analysis

Jadran d.d (ZGSE:JDRN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Jadran d.d. (ZGSE:JDRN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Advertisement

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Jadran d.d

What Is Jadran d.d's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Jadran d.d had Kn223.5m of debt in December 2022, down from Kn244.8m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of Kn13.2m, its net debt is less, at about Kn210.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ZGSE:JDRN Debt to Equity History March 8th 2023

How Strong Is Jadran d.d's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jadran d.d had liabilities of Kn67.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of Kn295.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had Kn13.2m in cash and Kn18.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by Kn330.4m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of Kn333.3m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Jadran d.d's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Jadran d.d's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.3 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 3.4 times last year. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. Notably, Jadran d.d made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of Kn36m in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Jadran d.d will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Jadran d.d actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

Neither Jadran d.d's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its interest cover gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Jadran d.d is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Jadran d.d you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ZGSE:JDRN

Jadran d.d

Operates hotels, resorts, and campsites in the Republic of Croatia.

Mediocre balance sheet with very low risk.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8696.7% undervalued
67 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
20 users have liked this narrative
RO
Robbo
FID logo
Robbo on Fiducian Group ·

Fiducian: Compliance Clouds or Value Opportunity?

Fair Value:AU$123.9% undervalued
11 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
WO
WVVI logo
woodworthfund on Willamette Valley Vineyards ·

Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI): Not-So-Great Value

Fair Value:US$242.5% overvalued
11 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

EN
HSBKL logo
Enemy on Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan ·

Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan will see revenue grow 11% as their future PE reaches 3.2x soon

Fair Value:US$52.2351.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
IN
MGMA logo
IncomeAssets on Magma Silver ·

Silver's Breakout to over $50US will make Magma’s future shine with drill sampling returning 115g/t Silver and 2.3 g/t Gold at its Peru Mine

Fair Value:CA$0.3534.3% undervalued
4 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
CO
SGRO logo
composite32 on SEGRO ·

SEGRO's Revenue to Rise 14.7% Amidst Optimistic Growth Plans

Fair Value:UK£9.3925.9% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.5% undervalued
118 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3927.2% undervalued
960 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8696.7% undervalued
67 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
20 users have liked this narrative