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Here's What To Make Of China Longyuan Power Group's (HKG:916) Decelerating Rates Of Return
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at China Longyuan Power Group (HKG:916) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for China Longyuan Power Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.092 = CN¥12b ÷ (CN¥190b - CN¥59b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).
Therefore, China Longyuan Power Group has an ROCE of 9.2%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 6.7% generated by the Renewable Energy industry, it's much better.
Check out our latest analysis for China Longyuan Power Group
Above you can see how the current ROCE for China Longyuan Power Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for China Longyuan Power Group.
The Trend Of ROCE
The returns on capital haven't changed much for China Longyuan Power Group in recent years. The company has consistently earned 9.2% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 58% in that time. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
What We Can Learn From China Longyuan Power Group's ROCE
In conclusion, China Longyuan Power Group has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 150% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
One final note, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with China Longyuan Power Group (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:916
China Longyuan Power Group
Generates and sells wind, coal, and photovoltaic (PV) power in the Chinese Mainland, Canada, South Africa, and Ukraine.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.