Stock Analysis

Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Xinyi Energy Holdings Limited's (HKG:3868) Earnings

SEHK:3868
Source: Shutterstock

It's not a stretch to say that Xinyi Energy Holdings Limited's (HKG:3868) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Xinyi Energy Holdings as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the market. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Xinyi Energy Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:3868 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 23rd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Xinyi Energy Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Growth For Xinyi Energy Holdings?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Xinyi Energy Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 29% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 23% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 18% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 15% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that Xinyi Energy Holdings' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Xinyi Energy Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Xinyi Energy Holdings that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Xinyi Energy Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.