The board of Zhongyu Energy Holdings Limited (HKG:3633) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 15th of November, with investors receiving HK$0.03 per share. This means the annual payment will be 1.7% of the current stock price, which is lower than the industry average.
See our latest analysis for Zhongyu Energy Holdings
Zhongyu Energy Holdings' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. The last payment was quite easily covered by earnings, but it made up 110% of cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.
If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 18.5% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 59% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Zhongyu Energy Holdings' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
Even in its short history, we have seen the dividend cut. The dividend has gone from an annual total of HK$0.05 in 2018 to the most recent total annual payment of HK$0.11. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 22% a year over that time. Zhongyu Energy Holdings has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Zhongyu Energy Holdings has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 19% per annum. While on an earnings basis, this company looks appealing as an income stock, the cash payout ratio still makes us cautious.
Our Thoughts On Zhongyu Energy Holdings' Dividend
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Zhongyu Energy Holdings (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:3633
Zhongyu Energy Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the development, construction, and operation of natural gas projects in the People’s Republic of China.
Proven track record with imperfect balance sheet.