Stock Analysis

Is ENN Energy Holdings (HKG:2688) A Risky Investment?

SEHK:2688
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that ENN Energy Holdings Limited (HKG:2688) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for ENN Energy Holdings

What Is ENN Energy Holdings's Debt?

As you can see below, ENN Energy Holdings had CN¥19.7b of debt, at December 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had CN¥8.70b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥11.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2688 Debt to Equity History April 6th 2021

How Healthy Is ENN Energy Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ENN Energy Holdings had liabilities of CN¥33.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥20.6b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥8.70b as well as receivables valued at CN¥13.1b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥32.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because ENN Energy Holdings is worth a massive CN¥118.9b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

ENN Energy Holdings's net debt is only 1.1 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 13.4 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also good is that ENN Energy Holdings grew its EBIT at 13% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ENN Energy Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, ENN Energy Holdings recorded free cash flow of 31% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

ENN Energy Holdings's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. It's also worth noting that ENN Energy Holdings is in the Gas Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. All these things considered, it appears that ENN Energy Holdings can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for ENN Energy Holdings you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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