Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying CGN Power Co., Ltd. (HKG:1816)?

SEHK:1816
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CGN Power Co., Ltd. (HKG:1816) maintained its current share price over the past couple of month on the SEHK, with a relatively tight range of HK$1.96 to HK$2.12. However, does this price actually reflect the true value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at CGN Power’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for CGN Power

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What's the opportunity in CGN Power?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my relative valuation model. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that CGN Power’s ratio of 8.24x is trading in-line with its industry peers’ ratio, which means if you buy CGN Power today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. In addition to this, it seems like CGN Power’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s fairly valued. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What does the future of CGN Power look like?

SEHK:1816 Past and Future Earnings, January 20th 2020
SEHK:1816 Past and Future Earnings, January 20th 2020

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 21% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for CGN Power. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 1816’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 1816? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on 1816, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for 1816, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on CGN Power. You can find everything you need to know about CGN Power in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in CGN Power, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.