Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By ELL Environmental Holdings Limited's (HKG:1395) 28% Share Price Surge

SEHK:1395
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ELL Environmental Holdings Limited (HKG:1395) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 32% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Water Utilities industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may consider ELL Environmental Holdings as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

See our latest analysis for ELL Environmental Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1395 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 9th 2024

What Does ELL Environmental Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, ELL Environmental Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on ELL Environmental Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is ELL Environmental Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as ELL Environmental Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 30%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 73% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why ELL Environmental Holdings' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

The large bounce in ELL Environmental Holdings' shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that ELL Environmental Holdings maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. Barring any significant changes to the company's ability to make money, the share price should continue to be propped up.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for ELL Environmental Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

If you're unsure about the strength of ELL Environmental Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if ELL Environmental Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.