- Hong Kong
- Gas Utilities
Tianjin Jinran Public Utilities (HKG:1265) stock falls 10% in past week as five-year earnings and shareholder returns continue downward trend
Generally speaking long term investing is the way to go. But along the way some stocks are going to perform badly. To wit, the Tianjin Jinran Public Utilities Company Limited (HKG:1265) share price managed to fall 59% over five long years. That's an unpleasant experience for long term holders. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 34%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 17% in the last 90 days.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Tianjin Jinran Public Utilities isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Tianjin Jinran Public Utilities
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During five years of share price growth, Tianjin Jinran Public Utilities moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.
In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 1.7% a year in the five year period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
Investors should note that there's a difference between Tianjin Jinran Public Utilities' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Tianjin Jinran Public Utilities' TSR of was a loss of 52% for the 5 years. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 3.2% in the last year, Tianjin Jinran Public Utilities shareholders lost 34%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 9% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Tianjin Jinran Public Utilities (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course Tianjin Jinran Public Utilities may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.
Find out whether Tianjin Jinran Public Utilities is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.View the Free Analysis
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Tianjin Jinran Public Utilities
Tianjin Jinran Public Utilities Company Limited engages in the operation and management of gas pipeline infrastructure, and the sale and distribution of piped gas to industrial, enterprise, and residential users in Mainland China.
Flawless balance sheet with poor track record.