Here's Why We're Not At All Concerned With Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial's (HKG:9699) Cash Burn Situation
Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.
So should Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial (HKG:9699) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
See our latest analysis for Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial
When Might Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial Run Out Of Money?
A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. In December 2022, Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial had CNÂ¥2.1b in cash, and was debt-free. In the last year, its cash burn was CNÂ¥523m. So it had a cash runway of about 3.9 years from December 2022. Importantly, though, analysts think that Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial will reach cashflow breakeven before then. In that case, it may never reach the end of its cash runway. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
How Well Is Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial Growing?
On balance, we think it's mildly positive that Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial trimmed its cash burn by 16% over the last twelve months. On top of that, operating revenue was up 26%, making for a heartening combination On balance, we'd say the company is improving over time. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
How Hard Would It Be For Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial To Raise More Cash For Growth?
There's no doubt Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial seems to be in a fairly good position, when it comes to managing its cash burn, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.
Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial's cash burn of CNÂ¥523m is about 7.2% of its CNÂ¥7.2b market capitalisation. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.
How Risky Is Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial's Cash Burn Situation?
It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. On this analysis its cash burn reduction was its weakest feature, but we are not concerned about it. One real positive is that analysts are forecasting that the company will reach breakeven. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. We think it's very important to consider the cash burn for loss making companies, but other considerations such as the amount the CEO is paid can also enhance your understanding of the business. You can click here to see what Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial's CEO gets paid each year.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:9699
Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial
An investment holding company, provides intra-city on-demand delivery services in the People’s Republic of China.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.