Stock Analysis

Asia-express Logistics Holdings (HKG:8620) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

SEHK:8620
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Asia-express Logistics Holdings Limited (HKG:8620) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Asia-express Logistics Holdings

What Is Asia-express Logistics Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2021, Asia-express Logistics Holdings had HK$52.5m of debt, up from HK$27.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had HK$33.4m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$19.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8620 Debt to Equity History November 25th 2021

A Look At Asia-express Logistics Holdings' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Asia-express Logistics Holdings had liabilities of HK$114.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$20.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$33.4m and HK$78.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$22.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Asia-express Logistics Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$127.2m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Asia-express Logistics Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Asia-express Logistics Holdings reported revenue of HK$424m, which is a gain of 28%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Asia-express Logistics Holdings still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at HK$4.8m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of HK$4.6m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Asia-express Logistics Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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