Stock Analysis

Shenzhen Expressway Corporation Limited (HKG:548) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

SEHK:548
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Shenzhen Expressway Corporation Limited's (HKG:548) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 19x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Shenzhen Expressway has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Expressway

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:548 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 10th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shenzhen Expressway.

How Is Shenzhen Expressway's Growth Trending?

Shenzhen Expressway's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 17% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 11% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 4.0% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 16% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Shenzhen Expressway's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Shenzhen Expressway maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Expressway (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shenzhen Expressway is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.