Guangshen Railway Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Guangshen Railway is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 11.4% and 5.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 11.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.1% in 3 years.

Key information

11.4%

Earnings growth rate

11.7%

EPS growth rate

Transportation earnings growth	10.3%
Revenue growth rate	5.5%
Future return on equity	5.1%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	24 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525)

Mar 08

Does Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Dec 29

The Returns On Capital At Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) Don't Inspire Confidence

Nov 21

Are Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Nov 02

Is Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) A Risky Investment?

Jul 31

Broker Revenue Forecasts For Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525) Are Surging Higher

May 02

We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In Guangshen Railway's (HKG:525) Earnings

Sep 07

Shareholders Will Probably Be Cautious Of Increasing Guangshen Railway Company Limited's (HKG:525) CEO Compensation At The Moment

Jun 11

Companies Like Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) Can Afford To Invest In Growth

Jun 01

Factors Income Investors Should Consider Before Adding Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525) To Their Portfolio

Mar 02

What Type Of Shareholders Own The Most Number of Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525) Shares?

Jan 26

Would Shareholders Who Purchased Guangshen Railway's (HKG:525) Stock Three Years Be Happy With The Share price Today?

Dec 22

What Can We Conclude About Guangshen Railway's (HKG:525) CEO Pay?

Nov 26

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:525 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	31,215	1,477	N/A	4,003	3
12/31/2025	29,342	1,397	N/A	3,057	4
12/31/2024	28,531	1,207	N/A	4,750	3
12/31/2023	26,195	1,058	94	1,116	N/A
9/30/2023	23,881	18	-591	1,425	N/A
6/30/2023	22,833	-552	-646	1,313	N/A
3/31/2023	21,091	-1,191	-1,733	111	N/A
12/31/2022	19,943	-1,995	-1,846	-193	N/A
9/30/2022	20,499	-1,712	-1,204	-87	N/A
6/30/2022	20,029	-1,743	-1,017	-4	N/A
3/31/2022	20,791	-1,278	72	1,050	N/A
12/31/2021	20,206	-973	-58	1,002	N/A
9/30/2021	19,748	304	3	575	N/A
6/30/2021	18,560	60	435	1,121	N/A
3/31/2021	16,996	-189	-5	693	N/A
12/31/2020	16,349	-558	483	1,336	N/A
9/30/2020	17,114	-1,243	134	1,253	N/A
6/30/2020	18,448	-628	48	1,556	N/A
3/31/2020	19,830	-104	428	2,616	N/A
12/31/2019	21,178	748	-46	2,395	N/A
9/30/2019	20,859	695	101	2,913	N/A
6/30/2019	20,487	892	308	3,172	N/A
3/31/2019	20,068	728	19	2,728	N/A
12/31/2018	19,828	784	578	3,261	N/A
9/30/2018	19,746	1,091	585	3,033	N/A
6/30/2018	19,447	1,161	560	2,847	N/A
3/31/2018	18,899	1,179	44	2,405	N/A
12/31/2017	18,331	1,015	361	2,635	N/A
9/30/2017	17,782	957	N/A	2,601	N/A
6/30/2017	17,614	985	N/A	2,209	N/A
3/31/2017	17,578	1,114	N/A	2,517	N/A
12/31/2016	17,281	1,158	N/A	1,641	N/A
9/30/2016	17,072	1,277	N/A	1,639	N/A
6/30/2016	16,429	1,288	N/A	1,821	N/A
3/31/2016	16,058	1,135	N/A	1,464	N/A
12/31/2015	15,725	1,071	N/A	2,260	N/A
9/30/2015	15,081	895	N/A	2,107	N/A
6/30/2015	15,008	798	N/A	2,558	N/A
3/31/2015	14,966	827	N/A	2,293	N/A
12/31/2014	14,801	662	N/A	2,113	N/A
9/30/2014	15,201	943	N/A	2,161	N/A
6/30/2014	15,343	953	N/A	1,839	N/A
3/31/2014	15,604	1,102	N/A	2,079	N/A
12/31/2013	15,801	1,274	N/A	2,051	N/A
9/30/2013	15,571	1,219	N/A	2,229	N/A
6/30/2013	15,707	1,290	N/A	2,437	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 525's forecast earnings growth (11.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2%).

Earnings vs Market: 525's earnings (11.4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (11.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 525's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 525's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (7.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 525's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 525's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.1%).

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Guangshen Railway Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%, revenue upgraded

Guangshen Railway Company Limited Provides Preliminary Earnings Guidance for the Period from January 1, 2023 to December 31, 2023

Guangshen Railway Company Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Half from January 1, 2023 to June 30, 2023

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to CN¥0.084 loss, revenue downgraded

Guangshen Railway Company Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year ended December 31, 2022

Guangshen Railway Company Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Half of 2022

Recent updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%, revenue upgraded

Guangshen Railway Company Limited to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 30, 2024

Guangshen Railway Company Limited Proposes Ordinary Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525)

Guangshen Railway Company Limited Announces Executive Changes

Guangshen Railway Company Limited Provides Preliminary Earnings Guidance for the Period from January 1, 2023 to December 31, 2023

Guangshen Railway Company Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 29, 2024

Does Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Guangshen Railway Company Limited Announces Resignation of Mr. Xiang Lihua as Shareholder Representative Supervisor

The Returns On Capital At Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) Don't Inspire Confidence

Are Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Guangshen Railway Company Limited Announces Resignation of Guo Jiming to the Board

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.048 (vs CN¥0.032 loss in 3Q 2022)

Guangshen Railway Company Limited to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 31, 2023

Is Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) A Risky Investment?

Guangshen Railway Company Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Half from January 1, 2023 to June 30, 2023

Guangshen Railway Company Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 30, 2023

New minor risk - Share price stability

Broker Revenue Forecasts For Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525) Are Surging Higher

Here's Why Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) Can Afford Some Debt

Full year 2022 earnings released: CN¥0.28 loss per share (vs CN¥0.14 loss in FY 2021)

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to CN¥0.084 loss, revenue downgraded

Guangshen Railway Company Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year ended December 31, 2022

Is Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) A Risky Investment?

Less than half of directors are independent

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: CN¥0.032 loss per share (vs CN¥0.037 loss in 3Q 2021)

Guangshen Railway Company Limited to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Oct 27, 2022

Does Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Guangshen Railway Company Limited Announces Appointment of Members of the Nomination Committee

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: CN¥0.052 loss per share (vs CN¥0.014 profit in 2Q 2021)

Guangshen Railway Company Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 30, 2022

Guangshen Railway Company Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Half of 2022

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Less than half of directors are independent

Guangshen Railway Company Limited to Report Q1, 2022 Results on Apr 28, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Why Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525) Could Be Worth Watching

Guangshen Railway Company Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2021

Third quarter 2021 earnings released

Is Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525) Potentially Undervalued?

We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In Guangshen Railway's (HKG:525) Earnings

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.014 (vs CN¥0.022 loss in 2Q 2020)

Chairman of the Supervisory Committee Mengshu Liu has left the company

Deputy GM & Executive Director Xiangdong Guo has left the company

Non-Executive Director Bin Wang has left the company

Shareholders Will Probably Be Cautious Of Increasing Guangshen Railway Company Limited's (HKG:525) CEO Compensation At The Moment

Companies Like Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) Can Afford To Invest In Growth

First quarter 2021 earnings released: CN¥0.013 loss per share (vs CN¥0.065 loss in 1Q 2020)

Full year 2020 earnings released: CN¥0.08 loss per share (vs CN¥0.11 profit in FY 2019)

Factors Income Investors Should Consider Before Adding Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525) To Their Portfolio

New 90-day high: HK$1.57

Guangshen Railway Company Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Mar 30, 2021

What Type Of Shareholders Own The Most Number of Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525) Shares?

New 90-day high: HK$1.54

Would Shareholders Who Purchased Guangshen Railway's (HKG:525) Stock Three Years Be Happy With The Share price Today?

What Can We Conclude About Guangshen Railway's (HKG:525) CEO Pay?

Third-quarter earnings released: Revenue misses expectations

Third quarter earnings released

Guangshen Railway Company Limited to Report Nine Months, 2020 Results on Oct 28, 2020

New 90-day low: HK$1.38

First half earnings released

Guangshen Railway Company Limited to Report First Half, 2020 Results on Aug 28, 2020

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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