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Jiangsu Expressway (HKG:177) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Jiangsu Expressway (HKG:177) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Jiangsu Expressway, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.065 = CN¥4.3b ÷ (CN¥80b - CN¥13b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
Thus, Jiangsu Expressway has an ROCE of 6.5%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 5.7%.
View our latest analysis for Jiangsu Expressway
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Jiangsu Expressway compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Jiangsu Expressway.
What Can We Tell From Jiangsu Expressway's ROCE Trend?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Jiangsu Expressway, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 13%, but since then they've fallen to 6.5%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Expressway's ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Jiangsu Expressway's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Additionally, the stock's total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat, which isn't too surprising. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Jiangsu Expressway has the makings of a multi-bagger.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Expressway (of which 1 can't be ignored!) that you should know about.
While Jiangsu Expressway isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:177
Jiangsu Expressway
Engages in investment, construction, operation, and management of toll roads and bridges in the People’s Republic of China.
Average dividend payer and fair value.