Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Yues International Holdings Group Limited (HKG:1529) As Shares Slide 60%

SEHK:1529
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Yues International Holdings Group Limited (HKG:1529) shares are down a considerable 60% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 77% loss during that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Yues International Holdings Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Hong Kong's Logistics industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Yues International Holdings Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1529 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 13th 2024

How Has Yues International Holdings Group Performed Recently?

Yues International Holdings Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Yues International Holdings Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Yues International Holdings Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Yues International Holdings Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Yues International Holdings Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 17% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 9.4% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Yues International Holdings Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Yues International Holdings Group's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We find it unexpected that Yues International Holdings Group trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Yues International Holdings Group (of which 3 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Yues International Holdings Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.