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Shenzhen International Holdings (HKG:152) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating Shenzhen International Holdings (HKG:152), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Shenzhen International Holdings:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.042 = HK$3.5b ÷ (HK$121b - HK$39b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).
Thus, Shenzhen International Holdings has an ROCE of 4.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Infrastructure industry average of 7.6%.
View our latest analysis for Shenzhen International Holdings
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Shenzhen International Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of Shenzhen International Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 5.4% over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 32%, which has impacted the ROCE. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. While the ratio isn't currently too high, it's worth keeping an eye on this because if it gets particularly high, the business could then face some new elements of risk.
In Conclusion...
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Shenzhen International Holdings. In light of this, the stock has only gained 8.5% over the last five years. Therefore we'd recommend looking further into this stock to confirm if it has the makings of a good investment.
On a final note, we found 5 warning signs for Shenzhen International Holdings (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
While Shenzhen International Holdings may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:152
Shenzhen International Holdings
An investment holding company, invests in, constructs, and operates logistics infrastructure facilities primarily in the People’s Republic of China.
Undervalued with proven track record.