SITC International Holdings Company Limited's (HKG:1308) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

SITC International Holdings Company Limited (HKG:1308) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 11% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, SITC International Holdings may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.1x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 11x and even P/E's higher than 23x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

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With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, SITC International Holdings has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for SITC International Holdings

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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as SITC International Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 94% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 13% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 9.4% per year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 15% each year.

In light of this, it's understandable that SITC International Holdings' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Despite SITC International Holdings' shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that SITC International Holdings maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for SITC International Holdings (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.