Stock Analysis

Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics' (HKG:1292) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

SEHK:1292
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The board of Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics Co., Ltd. (HKG:1292) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of CN¥0.163 on the 28th of September, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. The payment will take the dividend yield to 8.5%, which is in line with the average for the industry.

View our latest analysis for Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics

Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics' Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. Based on the last payment, Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics' earnings were much higher than the dividend, but it wasn't converting those earnings into cash flow. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

Looking forward, could fall by 21.3% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If recent patterns in the dividend continue, we could see the payout ratio reaching 75% in the next 12 months which is on the higher end of the range we would say is sustainable.

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SEHK:1292 Historic Dividend July 3rd 2023

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CN¥0.30 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of CN¥0.15. The dividend has shrunk at around 6.7% a year during that period. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Dividends have been going in the wrong direction, so we definitely want to see a different trend in the earnings per share. Earnings per share has been sinking by 21% over the last five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.