Stock Analysis

Investors in COSCO SHIPPING Ports (HKG:1199) have unfortunately lost 4.8% over the last five years

SEHK:1199
Source: Shutterstock

It is doubtless a positive to see that the COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (HKG:1199) share price has gained some 33% in the last three months. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. After all, the share price is down 29% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

View our latest analysis for COSCO SHIPPING Ports

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Looking back five years, both COSCO SHIPPING Ports' share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 2.2% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 7% per year, over the period. This implies that the market is more cautious about the business these days. The low P/E ratio of 7.88 further reflects this reticence.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1199 Earnings Per Share Growth June 24th 2024

Dive deeper into COSCO SHIPPING Ports' key metrics by checking this interactive graph of COSCO SHIPPING Ports's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for COSCO SHIPPING Ports the TSR over the last 5 years was -4.8%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that COSCO SHIPPING Ports has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 23% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 1.0% per year over five years. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand COSCO SHIPPING Ports better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for COSCO SHIPPING Ports you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.