Stock Analysis

Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure (HKG:1052) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

SEHK:1052
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Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Limited's (HKG:1052) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to CN¥0.15 on 29th of November. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 6.0%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure

Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Based on the last payment, Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure was quite comfortably earning enough to cover the dividend. This indicates that quite a large proportion of earnings is being invested back into the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 74.6% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 43%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1052 Historic Dividend August 28th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was CN¥0.163 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was CN¥0.23. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.5% a year over that time. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure's EPS has fallen by approximately 11% per year during the past five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure's payments are rock solid. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We don't think Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about. Is Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.