Stock Analysis

Should You Buy SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Limited (HKG:315) For Its Dividend?

SEHK:315
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Today we'll take a closer look at SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Limited (HKG:315) from a dividend investor's perspective. Owning a strong business and reinvesting the dividends is widely seen as an attractive way of growing your wealth. Unfortunately, it's common for investors to be enticed in by the seemingly attractive yield, and lose money when the company has to cut its dividend payments.

A high yield and a long history of paying dividends is an appealing combination for SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings. We'd guess that plenty of investors have purchased it for the income. Some simple analysis can reduce the risk of holding SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings for its dividend, and we'll focus on the most important aspects below.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

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SEHK:315 Historic Dividend November 30th 2020

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings paid out 87% of its profit as dividends, over the trailing twelve month period. Paying out a majority of its earnings limits the amount that can be reinvested in the business. This may indicate a commitment to paying a dividend, or a dearth of investment opportunities.

Another important check we do is to see if the free cash flow generated is sufficient to pay the dividend. SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings paid out a conservative 28% of its free cash flow as dividends last year. It's positive to see that SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings' dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

While the above analysis focuses on dividends relative to a company's earnings, we do note SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings' strong net cash position, which will let it pay larger dividends for a time, should it choose.

We update our data on SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings every 24 hours, so you can always get our latest analysis of its financial health, here.

Dividend Volatility

From the perspective of an income investor who wants to earn dividends for many years, there is not much point buying a stock if its dividend is regularly cut or is not reliable. For the purpose of this article, we only scrutinise the last decade of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings' dividend payments. The dividend has been cut on at least one occasion historically. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was HK$0.2 in 2010, compared to HK$0.3 last year. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.7% a year over that time. The dividends haven't grown at precisely 5.7% every year, but this is a useful way to average out the historical rate of growth.

It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

Dividend Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share (EPS) are growing. Why take the risk of a dividend getting cut, unless there's a good chance of bigger dividends in future? SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings' earnings per share have shrunk at 18% a year over the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective, as even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

Conclusion

To summarise, shareholders should always check that SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings' dividends are affordable, that its dividend payments are relatively stable, and that it has decent prospects for growing its earnings and dividend. First, we think SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings has an acceptable payout ratio and its dividend is well covered by cashflow. Earnings per share are down, and SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings' dividend has been cut at least once in the past, which is disappointing. Ultimately, SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings comes up short on our dividend analysis. It's not that we think it is a bad company - just that there are likely more appealing dividend prospects out there on this analysis.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings that investors need to be conscious of moving forward.

Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of dividend stocks with a yield above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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