Stock Analysis

Tread With Caution Around Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Limited's (HKG:215) 5.1% Dividend Yield

SEHK:215
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Is Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Limited (HKG:215) a good dividend stock? How can we tell? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings can be highly rewarding in the long term. Yet sometimes, investors buy a popular dividend stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

With Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings yielding 5.1% and having paid a dividend for over 10 years, many investors likely find the company quite interesting. We'd guess that plenty of investors have purchased it for the income. When buying stocks for their dividends, you should always run through the checks below, to see if the dividend looks sustainable.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings!

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SEHK:215 Historic Dividend March 27th 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings paid out 100% of its profit as dividends, over the trailing twelve month period. With a payout ratio this high, we'd say its dividend is not well covered by earnings. This may be fine if earnings are growing, but it might not take much of a downturn for the dividend to come under pressure.

Another important check we do is to see if the free cash flow generated is sufficient to pay the dividend. The company paid out 58% of its free cash flow, which is not bad per se, but does start to limit the amount of cash Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings has available to meet other needs. It's good to see that while Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings' dividends were not well covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a free cash flow perspective. Even so, if the company were to continue paying out almost all of its profits, we'd be concerned about whether the dividend is sustainable in a downturn.

With a strong net cash balance, Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings investors may not have much to worry about in the near term from a dividend perspective.

We update our data on Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings every 24 hours, so you can always get our latest analysis of its financial health, here.

Dividend Volatility

Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. For the purpose of this article, we only scrutinise the last decade of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings' dividend payments. Its dividend payments have declined on at least one occasion over the past 10 years. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was HK$0.1 in 2011, compared to HK$0.07 last year. This works out to be a decline of approximately 4.9% per year over that time. Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings' dividend hasn't shrunk linearly at 4.9% per annum, but the CAGR is a useful estimate of the historical rate of change.

A shrinking dividend over a 10-year period is not ideal, and we'd be concerned about investing in a dividend stock that lacks a solid record of growing dividends per share.

Dividend Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share (EPS) are growing. Why take the risk of a dividend getting cut, unless there's a good chance of bigger dividends in future? Over the past five years, it looks as though Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings' EPS have declined at around 17% a year. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective, as even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

Conclusion

When we look at a dividend stock, we need to form a judgement on whether the dividend will grow, if the company is able to maintain it in a wide range of economic circumstances, and if the dividend payout is sustainable. We're a bit uncomfortable with its high payout ratio, although at least the dividend was covered by free cash flow. Earnings per share are down, and Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings' dividend has been cut at least once in the past, which is disappointing. Using these criteria, Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings looks quite suboptimal from a dividend investment perspective.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of dividend stocks with a yield above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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