Stock Analysis

CITIC Telecom International Holdings (HKG:1883) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SEHK:1883
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that CITIC Telecom International Holdings Limited (HKG:1883) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for CITIC Telecom International Holdings

What Is CITIC Telecom International Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that CITIC Telecom International Holdings had HK$5.13b of debt in June 2022, down from HK$5.67b, one year before. However, it also had HK$1.72b in cash, and so its net debt is HK$3.41b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1883 Debt to Equity History August 19th 2022

How Strong Is CITIC Telecom International Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CITIC Telecom International Holdings had liabilities of HK$2.75b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$5.32b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had HK$1.72b in cash and HK$1.69b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$4.67b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because CITIC Telecom International Holdings is worth HK$10.3b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While CITIC Telecom International Holdings's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.4 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.7 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. The good news is that CITIC Telecom International Holdings has increased its EBIT by 4.7% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CITIC Telecom International Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, CITIC Telecom International Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

The good news is that CITIC Telecom International Holdings's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that CITIC Telecom International Holdings can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. Given CITIC Telecom International Holdings has a strong balance sheet is profitable and pays a dividend, it would be good to know how fast its dividends are growing, if at all. You can find out instantly by clicking this link.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.