Stock Analysis

HKBN (HKG:1310) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To HK$0.20

SEHK:1310
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HKBN Ltd. (HKG:1310) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to HK$0.20 on the 31st of May. The yield is still above the industry average at 7.2%.

View our latest analysis for HKBN

HKBN Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 193% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 39%. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.

Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 70.5% over the next year. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 120%, which is a bit high and could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1310 Historic Dividend April 28th 2023

HKBN's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

HKBN has been paying dividends for a while, but the track record isn't stellar. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. Since 2016, the annual payment back then was HK$0.20, compared to the most recent full-year payment of HK$0.40. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 10% over that duration. HKBN has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. HKBN's EPS has fallen by approximately 11% per year during the past five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this becomes a long term trend.

HKBN's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for HKBN (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:1310

HKBN

An investment holding company, provides fixed telecommunications network, international telecommunications, and mobile services to residential and enterprise customers in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and Macao.

Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.

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