Stock Analysis

Does Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited (HKG:6869) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:6869
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited Company (HKG:6869) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited

How Much Debt Does Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited had debt of CN¥6.43b, up from CN¥3.73b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥5.25b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.18b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:6869 Debt to Equity History September 3rd 2022

A Look At Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited had liabilities of CN¥8.31b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥4.83b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥5.25b in cash and CN¥5.91b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.98b.

Since publicly traded Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited shares are worth a total of CN¥24.6b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited has net debt of just 0.97 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. Better yet, Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited grew its EBIT by 192% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.