China High Precision Automation Group Limited's (HKG:591) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing
China High Precision Automation Group Limited's (HKG:591) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Electronic industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios below 0.4x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for China High Precision Automation Group
How China High Precision Automation Group Has Been Performing
The recent revenue growth at China High Precision Automation Group would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this good revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for China High Precision Automation Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as China High Precision Automation Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.5% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 66% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that China High Precision Automation Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that China High Precision Automation Group currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for China High Precision Automation Group that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of China High Precision Automation Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:591
China High Precision Automation Group
An investment holding company, manufactures and sells high precision industrial automation instrument and technology products in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet minimal.