Stock Analysis

SiS International Holdings (HKG:529) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

SEHK:529
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that SiS International Holdings Limited (HKG:529) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for SiS International Holdings

What Is SiS International Holdings's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that SiS International Holdings had HK$3.98b in debt in December 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it also had HK$812.0m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$3.16b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:529 Debt to Equity History April 27th 2021

A Look At SiS International Holdings' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that SiS International Holdings had liabilities of HK$3.76b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$1.65b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$812.0m and HK$1.40b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$3.20b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the HK$389.2m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, SiS International Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

SiS International Holdings has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 10.8 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 4.2 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. On a lighter note, we note that SiS International Holdings grew its EBIT by 28% in the last year. If it can maintain that kind of improvement, its debt load will begin to melt away like glaciers in a warming world. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since SiS International Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, SiS International Holdings recorded free cash flow of 20% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

To be frank both SiS International Holdings's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider SiS International Holdings to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for SiS International Holdings (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:529

SiS International Holdings

An investment trading and investment holding company, engages in the distribution of mobile and information technology (IT) products in Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, and Thailand.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.