Stock Analysis

IRICO Group New Energy (HKG:438) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, IRICO Group New Energy Company Limited (HKG:438) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for IRICO Group New Energy

What Is IRICO Group New Energy's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that IRICO Group New Energy had CN¥1.21b of debt in June 2021, down from CN¥1.46b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥623.7m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥582.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:438 Debt to Equity History August 28th 2021

How Healthy Is IRICO Group New Energy's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, IRICO Group New Energy had liabilities of CN¥2.65b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥455.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥623.7m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.21b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.27b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because IRICO Group New Energy is worth CN¥4.49b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With net debt sitting at just 0.94 times EBITDA, IRICO Group New Energy is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 8.2 times the interest expense over the last year. Even more impressive was the fact that IRICO Group New Energy grew its EBIT by 408% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if IRICO Group New Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, IRICO Group New Energy recorded free cash flow of 34% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Happily, IRICO Group New Energy's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that IRICO Group New Energy can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for IRICO Group New Energy that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:438

IRICO Group New Energy

Engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sale of solar photovoltaic glass in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.

Low risk and slightly overvalued.

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