Stock Analysis

We Like Vtech Holdings' (HKG:303) Earnings For More Than Just Statutory Profit

SEHK:303
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The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Vtech Holdings Limited (HKG:303) despite the healthy numbers. We did some digging, and we think that investors are missing some encouraging factors in the underlying numbers.

View our latest analysis for Vtech Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:303 Earnings and Revenue History June 28th 2024

Zooming In On Vtech Holdings' Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Vtech Holdings has an accrual ratio of -0.41 for the year to March 2024. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of US$323m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of US$166.6m. Vtech Holdings shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Vtech Holdings' Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Vtech Holdings produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Vtech Holdings' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And the EPS is up 12% over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Vtech Holdings (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Vtech Holdings' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.