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HK Asia Holdings Limited's (HKG:1723) Shares Climb 29% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
HK Asia Holdings Limited (HKG:1723) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 29% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 96%.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think HK Asia Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for HK Asia Holdings as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think this strong earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Check out our latest analysis for HK Asia Holdings
Although there are no analyst estimates available for HK Asia Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like HK Asia Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 277% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 38% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 22% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it interesting that HK Asia Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Bottom Line On HK Asia Holdings' P/E
Its shares have lifted substantially and now HK Asia Holdings' P/E is also back up to the market median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of HK Asia Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for HK Asia Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if HK Asia Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1723
HK Asia Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the wholesale and retail sale of the pre-paid products in Hong Kong.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.