Stock Analysis

Q Technology (Group) (HKG:1478) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

SEHK:1478
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Q Technology (Group) Company Limited (HKG:1478) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Q Technology (Group)

How Much Debt Does Q Technology (Group) Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Q Technology (Group) had debt of CN¥4.55b, up from CN¥2.56b in one year. However, it does have CN¥4.12b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥431.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1478 Debt to Equity History September 14th 2023

How Strong Is Q Technology (Group)'s Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Q Technology (Group) had liabilities of CN¥8.31b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥478.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.12b and CN¥2.96b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.71b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Q Technology (Group) has a market capitalization of CN¥3.48b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Q Technology (Group)'s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Q Technology (Group) made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥12b, which is a fall of 26%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Q Technology (Group)'s falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥87m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. On the bright side, we note that trailing twelve month EBIT is worse than the free cash flow of CN¥558m and the profit of CN¥26m. So if we focus on those metrics there seems to be a chance the company will manage its debt without much trouble. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Q Technology (Group) is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.