Stock Analysis

Is Sprocomm Intelligence (HKG:1401) A Risky Investment?

SEHK:1401
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Sprocomm Intelligence Limited (HKG:1401) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Sprocomm Intelligence

What Is Sprocomm Intelligence's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Sprocomm Intelligence had CN¥116.4m of debt, an increase on CN¥81.1m, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥61.6m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥54.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1401 Debt to Equity History September 29th 2023

How Strong Is Sprocomm Intelligence's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sprocomm Intelligence had liabilities of CN¥1.04b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥26.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥61.6m in cash and CN¥618.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥384.4m.

Since publicly traded Sprocomm Intelligence shares are worth a total of CN¥3.17b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Sprocomm Intelligence's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Sprocomm Intelligence had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 33%, to CN¥1.3b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Sprocomm Intelligence's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost CN¥35m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥370m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Sprocomm Intelligence (of which 3 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.