The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Trigiant Group Limited (HKG:1300) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Trigiant Group
What Is Trigiant Group's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Trigiant Group had CN¥1.43b of debt, up from CN¥1.30b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥737.0m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥688.0m.
How Healthy Is Trigiant Group's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Trigiant Group had liabilities of CN¥1.95b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥22.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥737.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.99b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥2.76b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus strongly suggests that Trigiant Group has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Trigiant Group's debt is 3.4 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.0 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Even worse, Trigiant Group saw its EBIT tank 66% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Trigiant Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Trigiant Group's free cash flow amounted to 38% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Trigiant Group's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to handle its total liabilities is pretty flash. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Trigiant Group's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Trigiant Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About SEHK:1300
Trigiant Group
An investment holding company, manufactures and sells feeder cables, optical fiber cables and related products, flame-retardant flexible cables, and others for mobile communications and telecommunication equipment in the People's Republic of China.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.