Would Vision Values Holdings (HKG:862) Be Better Off With Less Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Vision Values Holdings Limited (HKG:862) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Vision Values Holdings
What Is Vision Values Holdings's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2022 Vision Values Holdings had debt of HK$208.6m, up from HK$116.7m in one year. However, it does have HK$19.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$189.6m.
How Healthy Is Vision Values Holdings' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Vision Values Holdings had liabilities of HK$186.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$90.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$19.0m as well as receivables valued at HK$170.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$86.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Vision Values Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$431.7m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Vision Values Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Vision Values Holdings wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 481%, to HK$273m. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate Vision Values Holdings's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost HK$19m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through HK$122m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Vision Values Holdings you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:862
Vision Values Holdings
An investment holding company, provides network solutions and project services in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and Mongolia.
Low and slightly overvalued.