The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Anacle Systems Limited (HKG:8353) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Anacle Systems
How Much Debt Does Anacle Systems Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of November 2021, Anacle Systems had S$3.86m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds S$11.8m in cash, so it actually has S$7.97m net cash.
How Healthy Is Anacle Systems' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Anacle Systems had liabilities of S$3.78m due within 12 months and liabilities of S$3.51m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$11.8m as well as receivables valued at S$5.24m due within 12 months. So it actually has S$9.80m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus liquidity suggests that Anacle Systems' balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that Anacle Systems has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
But the other side of the story is that Anacle Systems saw its EBIT decline by 6.6% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Anacle Systems's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Anacle Systems has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Anacle Systems actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Anacle Systems has S$7.97m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of S$1.8m, being 138% of its EBIT. So is Anacle Systems's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Anacle Systems you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:8353
Anacle Systems
Develops enterprise business and energy management software solutions in Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, the People’s Republic of China, and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.