Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Ruihe Data Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:3680) With Shares Advancing 75%

SEHK:3680
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Ruihe Data Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:3680) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 75% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 20% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may consider Ruihe Data Technology Holdings as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Ruihe Data Technology Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:3680 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 13th 2023

How Has Ruihe Data Technology Holdings Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Ruihe Data Technology Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Ruihe Data Technology Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Ruihe Data Technology Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Ruihe Data Technology Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 23% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 8.5% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Ruihe Data Technology Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Ruihe Data Technology Holdings' P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Ruihe Data Technology Holdings currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Ruihe Data Technology Holdings (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.