Stock Analysis

Here's Why Chinasoft International (HKG:354) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SEHK:354
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Chinasoft International Limited (HKG:354) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Chinasoft International

What Is Chinasoft International's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Chinasoft International had CN¥4.06b of debt, up from CN¥2.61b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥4.88b in cash, leading to a CN¥819.6m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:354 Debt to Equity History September 3rd 2023

A Look At Chinasoft International's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Chinasoft International had liabilities of CN¥3.51b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.94b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.88b as well as receivables valued at CN¥8.44b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥6.87b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Chinasoft International's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Simply put, the fact that Chinasoft International has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

It is just as well that Chinasoft International's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 51% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Chinasoft International's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Chinasoft International may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Chinasoft International produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 69% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Chinasoft International has net cash of CN¥819.6m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 69% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥492m. So is Chinasoft International's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Chinasoft International is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.