The five-year loss for Sino-i Technology (HKG:250) shareholders likely driven by its shrinking earnings

By
Simply Wall St
Published
January 19, 2022
SEHK:250
Source: Shutterstock

The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Sino-i Technology Limited (HKG:250), since the last five years saw the share price fall 67%.

The recent uptick of 16% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a lot at historical fundamentals.

View our latest analysis for Sino-i Technology

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the five years over which the share price declined, Sino-i Technology's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 13% each year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 20% per year, over the period. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:250 Earnings Per Share Growth January 19th 2022

This free interactive report on Sino-i Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Sino-i Technology's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Sino-i Technology hasn't been paying dividends, but its TSR of -49% exceeds its share price return of -67%, implying it has either spun-off a business, or raised capital at a discount; thereby providing additional value to shareholders.

A Different Perspective

Sino-i Technology shareholders are down 12% over twelve months, which isn't far from the market return of -13%. Worse still, the company has lost shareholders 8% per year over five years. It could well be that the business has begun to stabilize, although we'd be hesitant to buy without clear information suggesting the company will grow. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Sino-i Technology (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

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