Stock Analysis

Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited's (HKG:968) Shares Leap 38% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

SEHK:968
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Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited (HKG:968) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 38% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 28% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Xinyi Solar Holdings' P/E ratio of 7.9x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Hong Kong is also close to 10x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Xinyi Solar Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for Xinyi Solar Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:968 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Xinyi Solar Holdings.

How Is Xinyi Solar Holdings' Growth Trending?

Xinyi Solar Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 44% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 26% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 15% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 12% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Xinyi Solar Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Xinyi Solar Holdings' P/E

Xinyi Solar Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Xinyi Solar Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Xinyi Solar Holdings.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.