The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that ASM Pacific Technology Limited (HKG:522) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for ASM Pacific Technology
What Is ASM Pacific Technology's Net Debt?
As you can see below, ASM Pacific Technology had HK$3.05b of debt, at December 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But on the other hand it also has HK$4.46b in cash, leading to a HK$1.41b net cash position.
How Strong Is ASM Pacific Technology's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ASM Pacific Technology had liabilities of HK$5.34b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$4.63b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$4.46b and HK$4.52b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total HK$989.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given ASM Pacific Technology has a market capitalization of HK$40.4b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, ASM Pacific Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
The good news is that ASM Pacific Technology has increased its EBIT by 2.6% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ASM Pacific Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While ASM Pacific Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, ASM Pacific Technology generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 90% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Summing up
We could understand if investors are concerned about ASM Pacific Technology's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of HK$1.41b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of HK$2.0b, being 90% of its EBIT. So we don't think ASM Pacific Technology's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with ASM Pacific Technology , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:522
ASMPT
An investment holding company, engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of machines, tools, and materials used in the semiconductor and electronics assembly industries worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.
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