JD.com Valuation

Is 89618 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 89618 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 89618 (CN¥127.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥209.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 89618 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 89618?

Key metric: As 89618 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 89618. This is calculated by dividing 89618's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 89618's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.6x
EarningsCN¥34.89b
Market CapCN¥370.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 89618's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 89618 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.2x
3308 Golden Eagle Retail Group
12.2x23.0%HK$11.4b
WES Wesfarmers
31.6x8.2%AU$80.8b
9992 Pop Mart International Group
61.6x34.8%HK$101.2b
1929 Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group
11.1x7.3%HK$72.4b
89618 JD.com
10.6x8.3%CN¥51.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 89618 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x) compared to the peer average (34.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 89618's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Multiline Retail Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
89618 10.6xIndustry Avg. 22.2xNo. of Companies14PE01632486480+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 89618 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x) compared to the Asian Multiline Retail industry average (22.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 89618's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

89618 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.6x
Fair PE Ratio15.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 89618 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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