Stock Analysis

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:881) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Market

SEHK:881
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When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 9x, you may consider Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited (HKG:881) as an attractive investment with its 4.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Zhongsheng Group Holdings could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Zhongsheng Group Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:881 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 26th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zhongsheng Group Holdings.

Is There Any Growth For Zhongsheng Group Holdings?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Zhongsheng Group Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 23% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 26% overall rise in EPS. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 3.5% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 15% per year.

With this information, we are not surprised that Zhongsheng Group Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Zhongsheng Group Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Zhongsheng Group Holdings you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Zhongsheng Group Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Zhongsheng Group Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.