Stock Analysis

Sunlight (1977) Holdings Limited's (HKG:8451) 25% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/ERatio

SEHK:8451
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Sunlight (1977) Holdings Limited (HKG:8451) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Sunlight (1977) Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.9x might still make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Sunlight (1977) Holdings as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Sunlight (1977) Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8451 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 2nd 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Sunlight (1977) Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sunlight (1977) Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 150% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 64% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 21% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's alarming that Sunlight (1977) Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Sunlight (1977) Holdings' P/E?

Despite the recent share price weakness, Sunlight (1977) Holdings' P/E remains higher than most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Sunlight (1977) Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Sunlight (1977) Holdings (1 is concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Sunlight (1977) Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.