Stock Analysis

The Returns On Capital At Cogobuy Group (HKG:400) Don't Inspire Confidence

SEHK:400
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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Having said that, from a first glance at Cogobuy Group (HKG:400) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Cogobuy Group is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.066 = CN¥318m ÷ (CN¥6.2b - CN¥1.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).

So, Cogobuy Group has an ROCE of 6.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Online Retail industry average of 12%.

See our latest analysis for Cogobuy Group

roce
SEHK:400 Return on Capital Employed March 9th 2022

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Cogobuy Group's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Cogobuy Group has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Cogobuy Group Tell Us?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Cogobuy Group, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 25% over the last five years. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

On a related note, Cogobuy Group has decreased its current liabilities to 22% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.

The Bottom Line On Cogobuy Group's ROCE

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Cogobuy Group's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And investors may be expecting the fundamentals to get a lot worse because the stock has crashed 84% over the last five years. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.

One more thing: We've identified 2 warning signs with Cogobuy Group (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:400

Ingdan

Operates as a technology service platform for integrated circuit (IC) chips industry and artificial intelligence of things (AIoT) ecosystem in the People’s Republic of China and Hong Kong.

Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.