Stock Analysis

Kidsland International Holdings (HKG:2122) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

SEHK:2122
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Kidsland International Holdings Limited (HKG:2122) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Kidsland International Holdings

What Is Kidsland International Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Kidsland International Holdings had CN¥116.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥63.7m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥19.9m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥96.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2122 Debt to Equity History September 4th 2023

How Strong Is Kidsland International Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Kidsland International Holdings had liabilities of CN¥429.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥40.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥19.9m as well as receivables valued at CN¥127.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥323.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥47.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Kidsland International Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kidsland International Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Kidsland International Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.1b, which is a fall of 15%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Kidsland International Holdings's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥154m at the EBIT level. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost CN¥203m in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Kidsland International Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.