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Sino Gas Holdings Group Limited's (HKG:1759) 40% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/ERatio
Sino Gas Holdings Group Limited (HKG:1759) shares have had a horrible month, losing 40% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 14% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Sino Gas Holdings Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.9x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 10x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
For example, consider that Sino Gas Holdings Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Sino Gas Holdings Group
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sino Gas Holdings Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Sino Gas Holdings Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 21% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 30% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Sino Gas Holdings Group is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Following Sino Gas Holdings Group's share price tumble, its P/E is now hanging on to the median market P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Sino Gas Holdings Group currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Having said that, be aware Sino Gas Holdings Group is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are concerning.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:1759
Sino Gas Holdings Group
Engages in the retail and wholesale of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), compressed natural gas (CNG), and liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the People’s Republic of China.
Medium-low with mediocre balance sheet.