More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Sino Gas Holdings Group Limited's (HKG:1759) Shares After Tumbling 28%

Sino Gas Holdings Group Limited (HKG:1759) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 28% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 45%, which is great even in a bull market.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Sino Gas Holdings Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.7x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Sino Gas Holdings Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Sino Gas Holdings Group

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sino Gas Holdings Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Sino Gas Holdings Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Sino Gas Holdings Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 63%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 68% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Sino Gas Holdings Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price drop, Sino Gas Holdings Group's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Sino Gas Holdings Group revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 6 warning signs for Sino Gas Holdings Group (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Sino Gas Holdings Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.