Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies China Ruyi Holdings Limited (HKG:136) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for China Ruyi Holdings
How Much Debt Does China Ruyi Holdings Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, China Ruyi Holdings had CN¥1.52b of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.18b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥338.7m.
A Look At China Ruyi Holdings' Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, China Ruyi Holdings had liabilities of CN¥1.72b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥3.28b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.18b in cash and CN¥1.30b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥2.52b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given China Ruyi Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥15.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
China Ruyi Holdings's net debt is only 0.34 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 29.0 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Even more impressive was the fact that China Ruyi Holdings grew its EBIT by 13,028% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since China Ruyi Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, China Ruyi Holdings recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
China Ruyi Holdings's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that China Ruyi Holdings can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that China Ruyi Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:136
China Ruyi Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in content production and online streaming business in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Europe, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with moderate growth potential.