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Dickson Concepts (International) Limited's (HKG:113) 25% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/ERatio
Dickson Concepts (International) Limited (HKG:113) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 2.1% in the last year.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Dickson Concepts (International)'s price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 12x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Dickson Concepts (International) over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
See our latest analysis for Dickson Concepts (International)
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Dickson Concepts (International)'s is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 43% decrease to the company's bottom line. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 19% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it interesting that Dickson Concepts (International) is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From Dickson Concepts (International)'s P/E?
With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Dickson Concepts (International) looks quite average now. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Dickson Concepts (International) currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Dickson Concepts (International) (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Dickson Concepts (International)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:113
Dickson Concepts (International)
An investment holding company, sells luxury goods in Hong Kong, Taiwan, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet low.
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